Transport futures research is carried out for two reasons: (1) to identify the types and magnitudes of future transport problems (and/or opportunities), and (2) to identify ways to reduce these transport problems (and/or take advantage of these opportunities). It is very important to note that the future is unknown, which makes future research outcomes (highly) uncertain. This chapter specifies and discusses different research approaches (scenarios, backcasting, adaptive approaches to study uncertain transport futures within the context of transport policy analysis.
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Authors:
Vincent Marchau
Warren Walker
Jan Anne Annema
